Week 6 SNAP Model Projections and Best Bets
- Benji Genise
- Oct 1, 2025
- 6 min read
It’s here. It’s finally time – for real this week. The first SNAP CFB Model Projections of the season is here, as the model finally has enough data to start accurately projecting games and producing team ratings. With that being said, the ratings still usually get more accurate as the season goes on, as it’s still collecting data every week. Along with that, some of the ratings and projections still may look weird from what we expect, but as I went further into in my deep dive, the ratings take into account nothing from the preseason – just point differential and stats from games that have been played throughout the year.
In these projections every week, you’ll the win probability, cover probability and over/under probability, for each game calculated by the model. You’ll also see the game score, a score of how good a game is likely to be. The scores range from 0 to 100, with 0 being the worst and 100 being the best. Typically, scores ranging from 0-25 will be a matchup of below-average teams or a game projected to be a blowout, game scores between 25-50 are solid matchups to watch but nothing special, scores from 50-75 are usually matchups between good teams that should be relatively close or a shootout, while scores ranging from 75-100 are the elite matchups we only get a couple times per week. Games are in chronological order.
If you’re not subscribed, click below to subscribe FOR FREE and enjoy the rest of the projections.
Want to read more?
Subscribe to snaptotipoffbybenji.com to keep reading this exclusive post.
